Top 5 NFL Games To Watch - Week 11

Season Record (31-19)

Boy last week was a tough one and I am putting the blame on being too distracted by the upcoming NBA draft. The Colts ripped up the Titans on Thursday night, the Rams handled the Seahawks horrid defense and the Cardinal's last-second heroics gave me my single correct pick of the week. After a tough week, things have not gotten any easier to predict. We have five games where both teams have a minimum of six wins already, which means we could be in for some phenomenal football games. So what are the games you should be tuning into on Sunday?

5. Kansas City Chiefs (8-1) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (6-3)

The Kansas City Chiefs have just one loss on the season and it just happens to be against the team they will be facing this Sunday. The Raiders shocked the world by knocking off the Chiefs 40-32 in Arrowhead Stadium, so the Chiefs will be looking for revenge. This game should be another good matchup though, as the Raiders are coming in playing well. They have won three games in a row, including a trouncing of the Denver Broncos 37-12 last week. Kansas City is on a four-game win streak of their own and coming off their bye week, so they will be well-rested.

One concern to take note of for this game is that COVID could decimate the Raider's defense. They currently have over half a dozen players on the COVID list, so if they are missing those players Kansas City will feast. The Chiefs are currently seven-point favorites and I like them to cover that spread. The 56.5 point line is a bit dicey, but I like them to hit the over here, mostly due to Kansas City's offense firing on all cylinders. Take the Chiefs to move to 9-1 and move on.

Kansas City 38- Las Vegas 27

4. Los Angeles Rams (6-3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3)

The Rams and their three-headed rushing attack gave the Seattle Seahawks some problems last week. Malcolm Brown got into the end zone twice, while Darrell Henderson added another. Jared Goff also threw for 302 yards, despite no touchdowns or picks. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, tore it up against the subpar Carolina Panthers defense. Three Buccaneers receivers had over 60 yards on the day, including new addition Antonio Brown. Putting up 46 points in a game is always impressive no matter the opponent.

The key for the Rams in this game is the turnover battle. The Buccaneers have an elite rush defense, so this will likely force Jared Goff to win this game for the Rams. Due to my lack of faith in Goff to do so, I am taking the Buccaneers to win this game. Jalen Ramsey can only cover one of the Buc's three big receivers, so Tom should spread the ball well once again. Take Tampa Bay to cover both the three-point spread and the 48 point line on Monday night

Tampa Bay 30 - Los Angeles 24

3. Tennessee Titans (6-3) vs. Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

Both the Titans and Ravens were upset last week. The Titan's special teams were horrendous, shanking a punt and allowing another to be blocked and recovered for a touchdown. The game was close up until that point, but Ryan Tannehill only threw for 147 yards in the game, which is not acceptable in the NFL. The Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson threw for 249 but also threw a costly interception. The Ravens also were outrushed by the Patriots 173-115, which is staggering considering how much of Baltimore's offense relies on the run game.

This game will be a ground assault by both teams, as Derrick Henry will try to keep up with Lamar Jackson and Baltimore's three-headed rushing attack. The 49 point line I think is rather deceiving, as the running backs are going to eat up the clock. Take the under here and if you own running backs on either team start them. Baltimore's defense is just a little bit better, which is why I think they squeak it out but do not cover at -6.0.

Baltimore 24 - Tennessee 21

2. Green Bay Packers (7-2) vs. Indianapolis Colts (6-3)

Aaron Rodgers and Phillip Rivers will go to battle this weekend in Indianapolis, which should be a great duel between the two future Hall of Famers. The Packers just squeaked out a win over the lowly Jaguars last week, so Aaron will be looking to be better against a very good Colts defense. The Colts picked up their biggest win of the season last week against Tennessee with Rivers throwing for 308 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions.

When Rivers holds onto the football, the Colts have a great opportunity to beat any opponent. When it comes to this matchup though, I think Aaron Rodgers will just be too much for the Colts to overcome. I love the Colts defense, but I do not see anyone slowing down Davante Adams right now and Allen Lazard should also be back this week. Take the Green Bay Packers to upset as two-point underdogs, but be wary of the 51.5 point line. I have these teams just barely covering, but I would avoid betting the point line altogether.

Green Bay 28 - Indianapolis 24

1. Arizona Cardinals (6-3) vs. Seattle Seahawks (6-3)

For the second week in a row, my game of the week will be on Thursday night. This one seemed like a no-brainer after how their first matchup finished. The Cardinals won 37-34 in overtime after Russell Wilson threw a costly interception in the extra frame. Arizona also won last week after Deandre Hopkins "mossed" three Buffalo Bills defenders on the final play of the game, so they will be riding high. The Seahawks, on their other hand, fell to 1-2 in their division, losing to the Rams in Los Angeles.

When you have two elite divisional teams, you tend to assume they will split their season series (unless you are the Saints and Buccaneers apparently). Seattle lost their first matchup on the road, so I like them to even it up at home, even with no fans. The Seahawks are three-point favorites and I think they will just cover that point spread. The point line started at 59 but has since fallen to 57, which makes me far more confident taking the over. Neither defense is stellar and when you have Kyler Muray and Russell Wilson at quarterback, I think that is a recipe for touchdowns. Tune in on Thursday or miss out on the best football action of the week.

Seattle 35 - Arizona 31

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